منابع مشابه
Maximizing the chance of winning in searching Go game trees
The current global selective search and decomposition search in Go typically back up territory scores. This approach is inherently flawed. We propose a new strategy of backing up ‘‘chance of winning’’. We show how an evaluation function on the chance of winning can be constructed. Also we develop a probabilistic combinatorial game model and an algorithm for decomposition search to work with pro...
متن کاملA New Perfect Information Game; No Chance Backgammon
Well known classical backgammon is an ancient two-player game, at least a thousand years, older than chess according to some estimates. It is a game of luck and skill, because it involves dices. In this work we construct a new backgammon which we call No Chance Backgammon since it does not involve the dice. Instead of a random element, players choose their own numbers under certain constraints ...
متن کاملGive chance a chance
How did I get to become a cell biologist? Or, more generally, why do things happen the way they do? The answer provided by the philosopher Democritus and later adopted by Jacques Monod is "everything existing in the universe is the fruit of chance and necessity." While I read Monod's book Chance and Necessity as an undergraduate student, little did I appreciate the accuracy of this citation and...
متن کاملProbability, chance and the probability of chance
In our day-to-day discourse on uncertainty, words like belief, chance, plausible, likelihood and probability are commonly encountered. Often, these words are used interchangeably, because they are intended to encapsulate some loosely articulated notions about the unknowns. The purpose of this paper is to propose a framework that is able to show how each of these terms can be made precise, so th...
متن کاملOn the relation between irrationality and probability estimates in a game of chance
Based on Rational Emotive Behavior Therapy (REBT) we tested the hitherto unexplored assumption that irrationality as conceptualized by REBT (demandingness, self evaluation, low frustration tolerance), is associated with erroneous statistical reasoning. We assessed trait irrationality of 216 respondents and individual estimates of future winning probabilities in the context of the Wortman (1975)...
متن کاملذخیره در منابع من
با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید
ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Nature
سال: 1973
ISSN: 0028-0836,1476-4687
DOI: 10.1038/246436a0